Ronald Bailey on Why His Policies, Not His Race, Will Defeat Obama

Just 38 percent of Americans said that they would vote for a black presidential candidate back in 1958. Fifty years later, a black American won the presidency with 53 percent of the popular vote. Recent social science data suggests that ethnic political tribalism among Americans continues to wane. Consequently, Reason Science Correspondent Ronald Bailey argues that if Obama loses it will be, for the most part, because the majority of voters disliked his policies, not his race.

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